| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 57.6 | 29–90 | 13.2 | 44% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 50.2 | 24–82 | 13.8 | 54% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 42.7 | 12–81 | 10.0 | 42% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 42.4 | 12–80 | 9.7 | 31% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 40.5 | 15–71 | 9.9 | 18% |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 35.7 | 10–66 | 5.6 | 19% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 30.6 | 3–71 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 28.9 | 9–53 | 7.2 | 31% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Drake Maye NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 1 | 27.3 | 4–57 | 4.1 | 18% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 26.4 | 4–54 | 6.1 | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 20.9 | 5–39 | 6.7 | 23% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 19.3 | 4–38 | 5.1 | 7% |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 17.5 | 1–37 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Behren Morton NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 3 | 15.4 | 0–34 | 2.8 | 15% |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 14.8 | 0–36 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 12.7 | 0–31 | 3.8 | 4% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 3.2 | 20% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 12.4 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 12% |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 11.1 | 0–25 | 2.6 | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Tommy DeVito NE vs GB | QB | NE vs GB | 2 | 9.8 | 0–25 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.4 | 10% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.0 | 0–22 | 1.7 | 9% |
| Jordan Love GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 1 | 8.9 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 8.0 | 0–22 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE | QB | GB vs NE | 2 | 7.0 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 5.3 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 27% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 23% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 29% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 4% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →