✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 1 0.56 43%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 2 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 1 0.36 30%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 1 0.24 22%
Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 4 0.24 21%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 3 0.20 18%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 2 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 2 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 1 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Cole Payton PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 2 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 4 0.12 11%
Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 3 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 2 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 0.09 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Jake Haener NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 5 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 3 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 0.04 4%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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