✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Kyren Williams LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 1 0.57 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 4 0.54 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 1 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 2 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Puka Nacua LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 1 0.32 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA RB WAS vs LA 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Davis Allen LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 3 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 1 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 6 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Treylon Burks WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 3 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 3 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ WAS RB LA vs WAS 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Antonio Williams WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 2 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA QB WAS vs LA 2 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 1 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Dyami Brown WAS vs LA WR WAS vs LA 4 0.04 4%
Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS WR LA vs WAS 4 0.04 4%
John Bates WAS vs LA TE WAS vs LA 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS QB LA vs WAS 1 0.03 3%
Max Klare LA @ WAS TE LA vs WAS 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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