✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 1 0.56 43%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 2 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 1 0.36 30%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 1 0.24 22%
Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 4 0.24 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 3 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 2 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 2 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 1 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 1 0.14 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Cole Payton PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 2 0.12 11%
Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 4 0.12 11%
Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 3 0.11 10%
Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 2 0.10 10%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG TE PHI vs NYG 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Jake Haener NYG @ PHI QB NYG vs PHI 3 0.09 8%
Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG QB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG RB PHI vs NYG 3 0.09 8%
Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG WR PHI vs NYG 5 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI WR NYG vs PHI 3 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI RB NYG vs PHI 0.04 4%
Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI TE NYG vs PHI 4 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
GARBEDGE TIME
Reference
?  How It Works