63 / 310 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 87.0 | 38–143 | 17.9 | 28% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 82.6 | 36–137 | 18.0 | 51% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 64.1 | 29–104 | 16.6 | 54% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 56.3 | 21–99 | 14.2 | 19% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Chase Brown CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 43.7 | 17–74 | 11.6 | 21% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 29.2 | 6–58 | 7.5 | 13% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 28.1 | 3–61 | 6.5 | 36% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 19.5 | 0–42 | 2.5 | 11% |
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 17.2 | 0–38 | 2.9 | 10% |
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 15.7 | 0–35 | 2.7 | 12% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN | RB | ATL vs CIN | 14.6 | 1–32 | 3.3 | 20% | |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 3.1 | 8% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.3 | 13% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 12.3 | 0–29 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 10.4 | 0–25 | 2.1 | 14% |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 9.3 | 0–21 | 2.4 | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 9% | |
| Geno Smith NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 8.0 | 0–24 | 1.6 | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 7.4 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL | RB | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 6.7 | 0–17 | 2.0 | 7% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.5 | 9% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 6.4 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.8 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 0.8 | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 3.7 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 1.9 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 7% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN | TE | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 11% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 7% | |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Drake London ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN | WR | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL | WR | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 57% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Drew Sample CIN @ ATL | TE | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET