✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 0.74 52%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 0.42 34%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 2 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 1 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 0.19 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 1 0.16 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 0.15 14%
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.09 9%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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