| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.70 | 50% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.67 | 49% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.66 | 48% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.53 | 41% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.45 | 37% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.32 | 28% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CLE | TE | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Taylen Green CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 4 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO | RB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE | RB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO | WR | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO | TE | CLE vs NO | 2 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE | WR | NO vs CLE | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →