| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 243.8 | 31.9 | 13% | |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 242.0 | 33.4 | 10% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 239.8 | 28.9 | 22% | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 229.8 | 40.3 | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 21% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 210.4 | 31.2 | 17% | |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 201.1 | 28.2 | 9% | |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 198.8 | 31.7 | 19% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 7% | |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 196.9 | 23.4 | 14% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 185.7 | 29.4 | 8% | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 177.5 | 25.6 | 11% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 177.5 | 27.6 | 8% | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 6% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 167.0 | 31.9 | 8% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 73.0 | 12.5 | 8% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 71.5 | 16.8 | 6% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →