159 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 6.1 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 8.9 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.6 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8.2 | 26% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 27% |
| Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.6 | 14% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.4 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 18% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.7 | 23% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.0 | 18% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 14% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 34% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–5 | 4.3 | 13% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 52% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 15% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 15% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 1.9 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 18% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 7% |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.7 | 10% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 19% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 7% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 22% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 5% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 11% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 6% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 11% | |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Dallen Bentley DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Kolbe Katsis DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | ||
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET