| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 298.4 | 36.2 | 7% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 256.8 | 32.4 | 17% | |
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 243.8 | 31.9 | 13% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 239.8 | 28.9 | 22% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 14% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 201.1 | 28.2 | 9% | |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 198.8 | 31.7 | 19% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 198.1 | 31.7 | 34% | |
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 185.7 | 29.4 | 8% | |
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 177.5 | 25.6 | 11% | |
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 177.5 | 27.6 | 8% | |
| Malik Willis MIA vs DET | QB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 174.7 | 20.5 | 22% | |
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 167.0 | 31.9 | 8% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 15% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 155.5 | 20.9 | 6% | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 71.5 | 16.8 | 6% | |
| Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA | QB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 7% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →