| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 98.1 | 28–182 | 9.9 | 27% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 91.9 | 33–159 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 87.8 | 24–163 | 8.8 | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 77.6 | 18–149 | 8.9 | 36% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 74.7 | 19–141 | 7.5 | 28% |
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 70.9 | 21–128 | 7.6 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 65.9 | 13–130 | 8.2 | 23% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 60.5 | 16–114 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 57.2 | 11–115 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 55.3 | 10–110 | 6.8 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 54.7 | 13–107 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 49.6 | 16–89 | 7.0 | 29% |
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 46.8 | 9–92 | 5.9 | 19% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 46.2 | 11–89 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 46.1 | 13–85 | 6.4 | 21% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 45.6 | 8–91 | 5.8 | 18% |
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 44.5 | 12–82 | 6.4 | 19% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 41.9 | 5–88 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 39.4 | 6–82 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 39.3 | 0–89 | 5.0 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 38.9 | 6–80 | 5.0 | 18% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 38.0 | 7–77 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 34.6 | 0–76 | 4.1 | 21% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 33.6 | 3–71 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 33.3 | 5–69 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 33.2 | 3–70 | 4.2 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 32.9 | 0–73 | 4.0 | 26% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 32.0 | 0–71 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 31.1 | 4–65 | 4.8 | 7% |
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 31.1 | 0–68 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 31.1 | 2–67 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 30.2 | 0–67 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 30.0 | 0–72 | 3.3 | 23% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 5–60 | 4.3 | 13% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 29.6 | 6–59 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 27.4 | 0–66 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 26.3 | 0–59 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 25.0 | 0–61 | 3.4 | 29% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 24.9 | 0–55 | 4.5 | 44% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.4 | 21% |
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 21.2 | 0–57 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 20.3 | 0–55 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 19.6 | 0–47 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 19.4 | 0–47 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 19.0 | 0–51 | 2.3 | 9% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 18.7 | 0–46 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 18.5 | 0–44 | 3.1 | 33% |
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 18.2 | 0–49 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 17.6 | 0–43 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 17.5 | 0–47 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 16.8 | 0–44 | 2.3 | 6% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 16.7 | 0–42 | 2.7 | 50% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.8 | 31% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 16.2 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 16.1 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 6 | 16.0 | 0–43 | 1.9 | |
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 15.6 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 15.5 | 0–44 | 1.7 | 4% |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4 | 14.7 | 0–46 | 1.8 | |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 14.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 14.0 | 0–43 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 13.7 | 0–42 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 13.5 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 29% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 13.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 6% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 13.2 | 0–38 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 13.1 | 0–33 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 12.5 | 0–38 | 1.9 | 4% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 12.1 | 0–36 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 11.6 | 0–32 | 1.6 | 8% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 11.0 | 0–29 | 1.9 | 47% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 10.7 | 0–29 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 10.6 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 38% |
| Deion Burks IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 5 | 10.3 | 0–32 | 1.3 | |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 9.9 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 9.7 | 0–27 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.6 | 0–31 | 1.0 | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 9.6 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 31% |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 9.4 | 0–29 | 1.2 | |
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 9.3 | 0–29 | 1.4 | 15% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 9.1 | 0–29 | 1.0 | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 9.0 | 0–29 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 8.5 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 20% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 7.8 | 0–26 | 0.9 | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 7.6 | 0–20 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 7.1 | 0–22 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 7.1 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Kenneth Harris IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 7.1 | 0–23 | 0.9 | ||
| Luke McCaffrey WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 5 | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 6.5 | 0–21 | 1.3 | 42% |
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 6.5 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 6.2 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 6.1 | 0–20 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 3 | 6.1 | 0–22 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 7 | 6.0 | 0–20 | 0.9 | |
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 6.0 | 0–18 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jonathan Mingo DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 5 | 5.6 | 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 5.6 | 0–21 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 5.2 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 5 | 5.1 | 0–18 | 0.6 | |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 4.8 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.8 | 0–15 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 4.7 | 0–16 | 0.7 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4.7 | 0–15 | 0.7 | ||
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 4.6 | 0–17 | 0.6 | ||
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 4.6 | 0–15 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.7 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 4.4 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 8% | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 12% |
| C.J. Williams JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 6 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.7 | 9% |
| CJ Daniels LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 5 | 3.9 | 0–15 | 0.5 | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tanner Koziol JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 3.8 | 0–13 | 0.5 | |
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 3.8 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 10% |
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 3.7 | 0–14 | 0.5 | 3% |
| Luke Schoonmaker DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.6 | 0–13 | 0.6 | |
| Pharaoh Brown IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 5 | 3.4 | 0–13 | 0.4 | |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 3.3 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 13% |
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 7% |
| Anthony Gould IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 6 | 2.9 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Ben Sinnott WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 2 | 2.8 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | |
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 8% |
| Colson Yankoff WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 6 | 2.3 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Quintin Morris JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 2.0 | 0–7 | 0.3 | |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 1.7 | 0–7 | 0.3 | 20% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →