208 / 390 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.78 | 54% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.71 | 51% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.69 | 50% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.63 | 47% | ||
| Bucky Irving TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.59 | 44% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.56 | 43% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.55 | 42% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.54 | 42% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.48 | 38% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Colston Loveland CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| George Pickens DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB | RB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Rome Odunze CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS vs LA | RB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Luther Burden III CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 19% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Sean Tucker TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL | WR | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Terry McLaurin WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 6 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Tez Johnson TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 4 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.17 | 15% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL | WR | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Caleb Williams CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Miller Moss CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Cade Otton TB @ CHI | TE | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Case Keenum CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL | TE | IND vs DAL | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Justin Fields KC vs NYJ | QB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ WAS | RB | LA vs WAS | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Easton Stick TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Antonio Williams WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Justice Hill BAL vs JAX | RB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 1 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL | TE | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Josh Williams TB @ CHI | RB | TB vs CHI | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI | QB | TB vs CHI | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB | QB | CHI vs TB | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs DAL | RB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX | WR | BAL vs JAX | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Emari Demercado DAL @ IND | RB | DAL vs IND | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX | TE | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Cole Kmet CHI vs TB | TE | CHI vs TB | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL | RB | JAX vs BAL | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB | WR | CHI vs TB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND | TE | DAL vs IND | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL @ IND | WR | DAL vs IND | 6 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| David Sills TB @ CHI | WR | TB vs CHI | 5 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Dyami Brown WAS vs LA | WR | WAS vs LA | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ WAS | WR | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| John Bates WAS vs LA | TE | WAS vs LA | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ WAS | TE | LA vs WAS | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET