✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 2 0.78 54%
Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 1 0.71 51%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
James Cook BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 1 0.63 47%
Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 1 0.55 42%
Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 2 0.48 38%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 1 0.36 30%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 2 0.28 24%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 1 0.26 23%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 2 0.25 22%
Josh Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 1 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 3 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 1 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 1 0.21 19%
Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 1 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 2 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 1 0.18 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 1 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 6 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 1 0.17 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Noah Gray KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 2 0.15 14%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN TE BUF vs MIN 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Cade Klubnik NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 2 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ TE KC vs NYJ 1 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 6 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Garrett Nussmeier KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 3 0.13 12%
Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 3 0.12 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
Patrick Mahomes KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 1 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ WR KC vs NYJ 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Justin Fields KC vs NYJ QB KC vs NYJ 2 0.11 10%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 3 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 3 0.10 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC TE NYJ vs KC 2 0.10 9%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 2 0.10 9%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC WR NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Will Levis NYJ @ KC QB NYJ vs KC 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC RB NYJ vs KC 3 0.09 8%
Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF TE MIN vs BUF 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ RB KC vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Myles Price MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 5 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN QB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 2 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC FB NYJ vs KC 0.07 7%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Ray Davis BUF @ MIN RB BUF vs MIN 3 0.06 6%
Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF QB MIN vs BUF 3 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Tai Felton MIN vs BUF WR MIN vs BUF 4 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF RB MIN vs BUF 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 5 0.06 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN WR BUF vs MIN 4 0.05 5%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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