✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET
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