✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 1 0.74 52%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Sam LaPorta DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 1 0.41 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Eli Raridon NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 2 0.39 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Efton Chism III NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 3 0.32 27%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Hunter Henry NE @ DET TE NE vs DET 1 0.30 26%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
Jameson Williams DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 2 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
A.J. Brown NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 1 0.26 23%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Drake Maye NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 1 0.20 18%
Corey Kiner NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 3 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 3 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Behren Morton NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 3 0.13 12%
TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET RB NE vs DET 2 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
DeMario Douglas NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 2 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Tommy DeVito NE @ DET QB NE vs DET 2 0.08 7%
Kyle Williams NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 4 0.08 7%
Justin Jackson DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
Jared Goff DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE QB DET vs NE 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE @ DET WR NE vs DET 0.06 6%
Brock Wright DET vs NE TE DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Sione Vaki DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 2 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET vs NE RB DET vs NE 3 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 5 0.03 3%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%
Tay Martin DET vs NE WR DET vs NE 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET
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