| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 84.5 | 40–135 | 18.6 | 47% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 74.4 | 38–115 | 16.0 | 52% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 66.0 | 30–109 | 12.9 | 37% |
| J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 59.8 | 24–104 | 11.7 | 20% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 58.8 | 29–93 | 14.5 | 38% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 56.0 | 25–91 | 12.4 | 16% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 55.7 | 20–97 | 12.6 | 22% |
| Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 54.5 | 17–99 | 10.7 | 18% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 48.8 | 19–87 | 12.5 | 38% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 47.1 | 9–96 | 9.6 | 13% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 43.6 | 16–76 | 9.2 | 11% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 41.3 | 11–80 | 12.8 | 48% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 37.6 | 11–70 | 9.5 | 15% |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 33.0 | 9–61 | 7.2 | 11% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 29.9 | 7–57 | 5.6 | 22% |
| RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR | RB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 28.9 | 7–57 | 6.5 | 34% |
| Kyler Murray MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 27.0 | 2–58 | 4.1 | 19% |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 24.9 | 3–53 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Bo Nix DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 22.2 | 0–51 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 20.6 | 2–44 | 3.4 | 17% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 19.9 | 3–41 | 4.6 | 18% |
| AJ Dillon CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 19.1 | 4–37 | 4.8 | |
| Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 3 | 16.3 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 12% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 16.1 | 1–34 | 3.6 | |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 15.7 | 2–33 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 15.6 | 1–35 | 3.2 | 6% |
| Haynes King CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 15.6 | 0–36 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Cole Payton PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 14.9 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 11% |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 12.2 | 0–31 | 1.9 | 14% |
| Jameis Winston NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 11.7 | 0–31 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN | RB | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 11.0 | 0–26 | 2.3 | 11% |
| Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 10.5 | 0–28 | 1.6 | 9% |
| Bryce Young CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 1 | 10.5 | 0–27 | 1.6 | 10% |
| Carson Wentz MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 10.3 | 0–25 | 2.2 | 9% |
| Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 2 | 10.0 | 0–25 | 1.9 | 12% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 10.0 | 0–27 | 1.9 | 26% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 9.9 | 0–22 | 2.6 | |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 9.4 | 0–22 | 2.5 | 11% | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 9.3 | 0–23 | 2.4 | 6% |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 9.1 | 0–24 | 1.5 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 8.8 | 0–21 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN | QB | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 7.9 | 0–22 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 7.8 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 7% |
| Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR | QB | DEN vs CAR | 2 | 6.7 | 0–20 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.2 | |
| Tanner McKee PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.1 | |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 5.8 | 0–17 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 9% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 4.9 | 0–13 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 4.1 | 0–15 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 0–12 | 1.1 | 6% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.5 | 0–12 | 0.6 | 17% |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.7 | 4% | |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.6 | 20% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 7% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.8 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.5 | 0–6 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 14% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 1.0 | 0–4 | 0.2 | 21% |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.9 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 23% |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 0.4 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR | WR | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Adam Prentice DEN @ CAR | FB | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% |
| David Moore CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 14% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| John Metchie III CAR vs DEN | WR | CAR vs DEN | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 31% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Darren Waller CAR vs DEN | TE | CAR vs DEN | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Evan Engram DEN @ CAR | TE | DEN vs CAR | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 23% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →