118 / 446 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 1 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 9.0 | 37% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 8.9 | 42% |
| Matthew Golden GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 2 | 4.9 | 2–9 | 8.2 | 23% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 27% |
| A.J. Brown NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 1 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6.9 | 24% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 7.5 | 28% |
| Tucker Kraft GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 1 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 6.2 | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.4 | 1–8 | 6.0 | 31% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 1 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 50% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 4.0 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 18% |
| Malik Washington MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.8 | 14% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Jameson Williams DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5.9 | 24% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Hunter Henry NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 1 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 33% |
| Josh Jacobs GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.5 | 54% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4.7 | 27% |
| Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 41% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 4 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 14% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–5 | 4.3 | 13% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 20% |
| DeMario Douglas NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.3 | 10% |
| Tre Harris LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 10% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 15% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 1 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.2 | 18% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 4.5 | 8% |
| Eli Raridon NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 31% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 18% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 27% |
| Savion Williams GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 9% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.8 | 35% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 17% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Pierre Strong GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 3 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 7% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 20% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 6 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 11% |
| Chris Bell MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 3 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 6 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 8% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 23% |
| Efton Chism III NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 3 | 1.5 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 9% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 13% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 9% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 4 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 5% |
| David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 29% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 25% |
| Tank Dell HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 24% |
| TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 14% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 9% | |
| Brock Wright DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 7% |
| Jonnu Smith GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.3 | 5% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Williams NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | 6% |
| Will Kacmarek MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| DJ Herman MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% | |
| Brenen Thompson LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| Jared Wayne MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 6 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Bo Melton GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Mark Redman GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Justin Joly MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET | WR | MIA vs DET | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 12% |
| Corey Kiner NE vs GB | RB | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 22% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Justin Jackson DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 8% | |
| Sione Vaki DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 2 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE vs GB | WR | NE vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 6% | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | ||
| Marlin Klein HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 12% |
| Tyler Conklin DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Coleman Owen GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 6 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 4% |
| Tanner Arkin NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Josh Whyle GB @ NE | TE | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 4% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ LAC | TE | HOU vs LAC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ LAC | WR | HOU vs LAC | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Derius Davis LAC vs HOU | WR | LAC vs HOU | 7 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Carlos Washington MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Jaylen Wright MIA vs DET | RB | MIA vs DET | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB @ NE | WR | GB vs NE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Meeks DET @ MIA | TE | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Seydou Traore MIA vs DET | TE | MIA vs DET | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Patrick Herbert LAC vs HOU | TE | LAC vs HOU | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ LAC | RB | HOU vs LAC | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE | RB | GB vs NE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA | RB | DET vs MIA | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | 5% |
| Scott Matlock LAC vs HOU | RB | LAC vs HOU | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Tay Martin DET @ MIA | WR | DET vs MIA | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 3% |
| Cameron Latu NE vs GB | TE | NE vs GB | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 34% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET