| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 69.5 | 34–110 | 14.5 | 45% |
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 64.5 | 28–107 | 17.9 | 25% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 57.4 | 26–94 | 13.3 | 46% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 53.5 | 15–98 | 11.1 | 30% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 36.3 | 14–63 | 9.2 | 26% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 35.4 | 12–63 | 9.4 | 21% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 34.2 | 8–66 | 7.2 | 16% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 25.0 | 6–48 | 6.3 | 17% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 15.1 | 0–34 | 2.7 | 18% |
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.5 | 12% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 13.7 | 0–33 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 13.4 | 0–31 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.6 | 10% |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 2.7 | 17% |
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 11.8 | 0–28 | 3.3 | 9% |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 11.3 | 0–26 | 2.5 | 10% |
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 11.2 | 0–28 | 1.9 | 10% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 11.1 | 0–24 | 3.2 | 13% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 8.4 | 0–20 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 8.2 | 0–19 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| Kalel Mullings TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5.9 | 0–15 | 1.7 | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 0.9 | 30% |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 5.5 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 4.7 | 0–14 | 1.1 | |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Gardner Minshew CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.9 | |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.4 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 4.1 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 5% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.8 | 3% |
| Julius Chestnut TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 3.9 | 0–11 | 1.1 | |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 2.0 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 21% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Chimere Dike TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →