| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 1 | 6.0 | 2–10 | 8.3 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 8.9 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 8.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.6 | 2–11 | 8.9 | 43% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 5.6 | 2–10 | 9.0 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 7.3 | 30% |
| George Kittle SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 1 | 5.3 | 2–9 | 6.9 | 34% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 7.1 | 35% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5.7 | 37% |
| Dallas Goedert PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 4.5 | 1–8 | 6.1 | 27% |
| Travis Kelce KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 13% |
| Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.5 | 48% |
| Tre Tucker LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 1 | 4.0 | 1–8 | 6.6 | 21% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 3.8 | 1–8 | 5.2 | 23% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 5.1 | 22% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 24% |
| Michael Mayer LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 11% |
| Jordan Addison MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 6.0 | 17% |
| Makai Lemon PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 5.6 | 10% |
| Xavier Worthy KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5.7 | 14% |
| Mike Evans SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 1 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5.4 | 22% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–5 | 4.3 | 13% |
| DJ Moore CHART BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 4.6 | 20% |
| Malachi Fields NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 2 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 26% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 3.5 | 51% |
| Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.6 | 18% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.7 | 17% |
| Dameon Pierce PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 2.6 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 38% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.1 | 21% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.3 | 54% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 4.9 | 9% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 1 | 2.3 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 19% |
| Elijah Mitchell PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 2.3 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 8% |
| Noah Gray KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Aaron Jones MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 38% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.3 | 11% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 3.0 | 9% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 8% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 22% |
| Zach Ertz PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.6 | 9% | |
| Marquise Brown PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 5 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Devin Singletary NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 18% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 7% |
| Jalen Nailor LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 8% |
| Emmett Johnson KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.1 | 8% |
| Darius Cooper PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.6 | 21% |
| Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 10 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV | FB | SF vs LV | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 18% |
| Jalen Royals KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 11% |
| James Cook BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 47% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 6 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 22% |
| Jordan Watkins SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | |
| Brandin Cooks SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Theo Johnson NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 11% |
| Jordan Mason CHART MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 1 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 16% |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 5% |
| Tim Patrick NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.9 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 2 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Saquon Barkley CHART PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 1 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.6 | 13% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 5 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cody White LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 11% |
| Jacob Cowing SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.8 | |
| Cyrus Allen KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.6 | |
| Jaydn Ott KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.3 | 10% |
| Tai Felton MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 6% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.5 | 11% | |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Kaelon Black SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 11% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 3 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Eli Stowers PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 6 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Dylan Laube LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.8 | 0–3 | 1.0 | 7% |
| Charlie Jones NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Elijah Moore PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Roman Hemby LV @ SF | RB | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 11% | |
| Johnny Mundt PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Tank Bigsby PHI vs NYG | RB | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 11% |
| Deven Thompkins LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Jelani Woods NYJ @ KC | TE | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Christian Kirk SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Myles Price MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 5 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 8% |
| Luke Farrell SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 5% |
| Dillon Bell MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| Ian Thomas LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Ray Davis BUF @ MIN | RB | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Max Bredeson MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% | |
| Jordan James SF vs LV | RB | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Malik Benson LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 11% |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | ||
| James Thompson SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Britain Covey PHI vs NYG | WR | PHI vs NYG | 7 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Demond Claiborne MIN vs BUF | RB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Ben Yurosek MIN vs BUF | TE | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Grant Calcaterra PHI vs NYG | TE | PHI vs NYG | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN vs BUF | WR | MIN vs BUF | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.9 | ||
| Jake Briningstool KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ MIN | WR | BUF vs MIN | 5 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 5% |
| Justin Watson KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC vs NYJ | RB | KC vs NYJ | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 9% | |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ @ KC | RB | NYJ vs KC | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Connor Heyward LV @ SF | FB | LV vs SF | 1 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC vs NYJ | WR | KC vs NYJ | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| Andrew Beck NYJ @ KC | FB | NYJ vs KC | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 7% | |
| Jack Stoll SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Keleki Latu BUF @ MIN | TE | BUF vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG @ PHI | TE | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Jared Wiley KC vs NYJ | TE | KC vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ @ KC | WR | NYJ vs KC | 6 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG @ PHI | RB | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Malik Turner SF vs LV | WR | SF vs LV | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Dalen Cambre NYG @ PHI | WR | NYG vs PHI | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Chris Myarick LV @ SF | TE | LV vs SF | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | ||
| Brayden Willis SF vs LV | TE | SF vs LV | 3 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Dareke Young LV @ SF | WR | LV vs SF | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Jake Haener NYG @ PHI | QB | NYG vs PHI | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Will Levis NYJ @ KC | QB | NYJ vs KC | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Joe Milton III PHI vs NYG | QB | PHI vs NYG | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Max Brosmer MIN vs BUF | QB | MIN vs BUF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 6% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ MIN | QB | BUF vs MIN | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →