✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sat Nov 7, 2:01 PM ET · Next Sun Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET
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