✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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