✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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