✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 1 0.72 51%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Brian Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 2 0.38 31%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Rashee Rice KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 1 0.35 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 1 0.31 27%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 1 0.27 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC RB ATL vs KC 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 2 0.20 18%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 3 0.17 16%
Noah Gray KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 2 0.17 16%
Drake London ATL vs KC WR ATL vs KC 1 0.17 16%
Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 3 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 4 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 3 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Travis Kelce KC @ ATL TE KC vs ATL 1 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 1 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Justin Fields KC @ ATL QB KC vs ATL 2 0.13 12%
Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 5 0.12 12%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 1 0.12 11%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
Nick Muse ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 4 0.11 11%
Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 3 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC TE ATL vs KC 2 0.10 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 2 0.09 9%
Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL RB KC vs ATL 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Jalen Royals KC @ ATL WR KC vs ATL 4 0.08 8%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC QB ATL vs KC 2 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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