102 / 290 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 98.5 | 51–154 | 19.2 | 44% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 81.8 | 43–128 | 18.6 | 27% |
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 80.3 | 30–143 | 17.1 | 32% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 78.5 | 34–130 | 17.2 | 51% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 77.7 | 39–122 | 16.4 | 52% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 68.9 | 30–113 | 17.4 | 56% |
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 64.0 | 17–123 | 15.6 | 26% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 53.8 | 20–97 | 13.8 | 20% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.6 | 10–77 | 9.8 | 16% |
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 30.0 | 5–62 | 6.9 | 10% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 28.8 | 9–52 | 6.7 | 24% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 27.9 | 2–60 | 4.7 | 19% |
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 24.7 | 1–56 | 3.7 | 19% |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 21.2 | 1–48 | 5.5 | 31% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 19.6 | 3–38 | 4.6 | 14% |
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 19.5 | 1–41 | 2.7 | 12% |
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.8 | 1–41 | 3.1 | 16% |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 18.7 | 1–40 | 3.2 | 12% |
| Jaylen Wright MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 18.6 | 2–40 | 4.6 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.1 | 2–39 | 3.7 | 8% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 17.6 | 3–34 | 4.4 | |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 17.1 | 2–36 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–41 | 2.9 | 20% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 16.5 | 0–39 | 3.8 | 9% |
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 16.4 | 1–37 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 16.1 | 0–36 | 2.7 | 20% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 15.1 | 0–35 | 3.5 | 8% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 14.8 | 2–32 | 3.8 | 20% | |
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 14.8 | 1–31 | 3.4 | 9% |
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 14% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.9 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.0 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 13% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 12.6 | 0–28 | 2.9 | 10% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 12.5 | 0–29 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 12.3 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 10.3 | 0–23 | 2.7 | |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.4 | 0–21 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 7% |
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 8.1 | 0–20 | 1.8 | 8% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 8.0 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 7.7 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 7.4 | 0–19 | 1.7 | 8% | |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.1 | 18% |
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 6.2 | 0–18 | 1.1 | 10% |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 6.1 | 0–16 | 1.4 | 9% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 4.7 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 4.0 | 0–13 | 0.8 | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 3.4 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | 9% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Ashton Dulin IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 4 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 1.5 | 0–5 | 0.3 | |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 1.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 5% |
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 1.2 | 0–4 | 0.5 | 33% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Deion Burks IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 5 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 0.3 | 10% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 15% |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 16% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.5 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 29% |
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 18% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 17% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 16% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 13% |
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 26% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET