✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 1 0.50 40%
Brock Bowers LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 1 0.49 39%
AJ Barner SEA @ LV TE SEA vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 1 0.41 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 1 0.35 30%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 2 0.20 18%
Tre Tucker LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 1 0.19 17%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 3 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 3 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Tory Horton SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 4 0.15 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 2 0.14 13%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Roman Hemby LV vs SEA RB LV vs SEA 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Cody White LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 4 0.13 12%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
Michael Mayer LV vs SEA TE LV vs SEA 2 0.11 11%
George Holani SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Malik Benson LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 7 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Jadarian Price SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 2 0.11 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV WR SEA vs LV 2 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jack Bech LV vs SEA WR LV vs SEA 3 0.10 9%
Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 1 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA QB LV vs SEA 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Sam Darnold SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 1 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV RB SEA vs LV 5 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Drew Lock SEA @ LV QB SEA vs LV 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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