| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 7.4 | 4–12 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 4.8 | 2–9 | 7.2 | 30% |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 4.4 | 1–9 | 6.3 | 18% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 5.2 | 22% |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 5.6 | 11% |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5.2 | 26% |
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4.8 | 17% |
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 3.4 | 1–7 | 4.7 | 16% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 3.9 | 13% |
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 3.1 | 0–6 | 5.4 | 33% |
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 17% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 2.7 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 5.2 | 10% |
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 2.6 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 2.6 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 20% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 2.4 | 0–5 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 7% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 17% |
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 44% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 45% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.4 | 8% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 1.7 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 22% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 35% |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 14% |
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 2.3 | 10% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–4 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.7 | 22% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.2 | 0–3 | 1.7 | |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 9% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 1.7 | |
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 15% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.1 | 27% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 10% | |
| Josh Palmer BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 11% | |
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 12% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 16% | |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 8% |
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 9% |
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 4% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Jelani Woods NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 14% |
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.7 | |
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | |
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 6% |
| Marlin Klein HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Brevin Jordan HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Lewis Bond HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Carsen Ryan CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Keleki Latu BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Malik McClain NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Tylan Wallace CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | ||
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 19% |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 8% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →