| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.82 | 56% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.51 | 40% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.05 | 4% | ||
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →