✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Kyren Williams LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 1 0.60 45%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Trey McBride ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 1 0.45 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Blake Corum LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Puka Nacua LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 1 0.35 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 2 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 2 0.30 26%
Michael Wilson ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 1 0.30 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 3 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Bam Knight ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 3 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Davis Allen LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 3 0.17 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Carson Beck ARI vs LA QB ARI vs LA 2 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 5 0.14 13%
Ty Simpson LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 3 0.13 12%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 2 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Dean Connors LA @ ARI RB LA vs ARI 3 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA WR ARI vs LA 6 0.10 9%
Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 1 0.09 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 3 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
Evan Hull ARI vs LA RB ARI vs LA 4 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 2 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 2 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA TE ARI vs LA 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI WR LA vs ARI 3 0.04 4%
Max Klare LA @ ARI TE LA vs ARI 4 0.04 4%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI QB LA vs ARI 1 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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