✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 1 0.62 46%
Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 1 0.59 45%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
Woody Marks HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 1 0.40 33%
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 2 0.36 30%
Nico Collins HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 1 0.36 30%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 3 0.35 29%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
David Montgomery HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 2 0.31 27%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 1 0.28 25%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 2 0.25 22%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 3 0.24 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Parker Washington JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 1 0.23 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 3 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 1 0.20 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 1 0.19 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 1 0.19 17%
Cam Ward TEN vs JAX QB TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 1 0.19 17%
Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN WR JAX vs TEN 4 0.19 17%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 7 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 1 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 0.18 16%
Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 5 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 2 0.17 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Michael Carter TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 5 0.16 15%
Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 1 0.16 15%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 1 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Cade Stover HOU @ CLE TE HOU vs CLE 3 0.15 14%
Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 4 0.14 13%
Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU RB CLE vs HOU 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 4 0.14 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX TE TEN vs JAX 2 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 2 0.11 11%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 5 0.11 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE RB HOU vs CLE 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 1 0.10 10%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 4 0.10 10%
Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX WR TEN vs JAX 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX RB TEN vs JAX 2 0.10 9%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN TE JAX vs TEN 2 0.10 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Davis Mills HOU @ CLE QB HOU vs CLE 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE WR HOU vs CLE 3 0.08 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU WR CLE vs HOU 3 0.08 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 3 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU QB CLE vs HOU 2 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN RB JAX vs TEN 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 2 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU TE CLE vs HOU 2 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN QB JAX vs TEN 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET
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