130 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.82 | 56% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET