113 / 290 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 98.5 | 51–154 | 19.2 | 44% |
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 76.1 | 37–122 | 14.7 | 39% |
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 69.7 | 32–114 | 14.8 | 16% |
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 68.9 | 30–113 | 17.4 | 56% |
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 62.5 | 23–110 | 17.5 | 44% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 58.2 | 28–94 | 14.6 | 56% |
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 53.8 | 20–97 | 13.8 | 20% |
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 51.3 | 13–100 | 13.1 | 18% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 47.2 | 21–78 | 14.2 | 45% |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 47.0 | 17–83 | 10.0 | 15% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 46.5 | 13–87 | 12.1 | 35% |
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 45.3 | 14–81 | 9.7 | 10% |
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 45.1 | 15–82 | 9.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 37.2 | 3–84 | 8.8 | 36% |
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 36.1 | 11–67 | 7.7 | 40% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 33.9 | 7–65 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 31.4 | 8–62 | 6.7 | 10% | |
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 28.2 | 5–59 | 4.0 | 20% |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 27.9 | 2–60 | 4.7 | 19% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 24.9 | 8–44 | 6.6 | 16% | |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 24.4 | 5–49 | 7.1 | 23% |
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 23.6 | 0–58 | 7.2 | 33% |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 20.7 | 2–44 | 3.3 | 17% |
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 18.2 | 1–41 | 4.3 | 11% |
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 17.4 | 1–37 | 3.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 17.2 | 0–42 | 4.6 | 9% |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 16.8 | 0–39 | 4.4 | 5% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 16.3 | 2–34 | 4.7 | 13% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 3.6 | 22% |
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 15.4 | 0–36 | 2.4 | 11% |
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 15.1 | 0–35 | 3.5 | 8% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 15.0 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 14% |
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 14.8 | 1–31 | 3.4 | 9% |
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 14.4 | 0–37 | 2.8 | 7% |
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 13.3 | 0–31 | 2.7 | 9% | |
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 12.7 | 0–30 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 12.5 | 0–29 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 11.9 | 0–27 | 3.0 | 6% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 11.9 | 0–30 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 11.2 | 0–30 | 2.0 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 10.9 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 17% |
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 10.8 | 0–27 | 2.2 | 10% |
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 10.4 | 0–27 | 2.3 | 8% |
| Kene Nwangwu NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 10.3 | 0–23 | 2.7 | |
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.6 | 13% | |
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 10.2 | 0–24 | 2.0 | 13% |
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 10.1 | 0–27 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 9.5 | 0–29 | 2.2 | 4% |
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 9.4 | 0–23 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.7 | 7% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 8.1 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 7.6 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 7.4 | 0–19 | 1.7 | 8% | |
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 7.1 | 0–21 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 7.1 | 0–19 | 1.4 | 11% |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 7.0 | 0–18 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 6.6 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Jalen Milroe SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 6.4 | 0–19 | 1.1 | |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 11% |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.4 | ||
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 6.0 | 0–17 | 1.1 | |
| Dylan Laube LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–15 | 1.7 | |
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 5.5 | 0–17 | 1.5 | 9% |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 5.0 | 0–14 | 1.2 | 6% | |
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 4.7 | 0–17 | 0.8 | 26% |
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 1.1 | 9% |
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 4.4 | 0–14 | 0.8 | 6% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 4.3 | 0–16 | 0.7 | 30% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 0.5 | 10% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 1.0 | |
| Brady Russell SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3.3 | 0–10 | 0.7 | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 3.2 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 7% | |
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 2.8 | 0–8 | 1.0 | 37% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.7 | 0–8 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Jacob Cowing SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 6 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.4 | |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.4 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 17% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 30% |
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 2.0 | 0–6 | 0.4 | 7% |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 17% |
| Connor Heyward LV vs SEA | FB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.6 | |
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 1.4 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 22% |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 4 | 1.1 | 0–2 | 0.2 | |
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 0.2 | 17% |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.1 | |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Andrew Beck NYJ vs BUF | FB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.7 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.7 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 35% |
| Deven Thompkins LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.6 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 11% | |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 44% |
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 10% |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 6% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 5% |
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 22% |
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 8% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 39% |
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 15% |
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 20% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 24% |
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 22% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 34% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 27% |
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET