| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 246.4 | 29.2 | 19% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 245.5 | 32.7 | 14% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 242.4 | 30.2 | 7% | |
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 242.0 | 33.4 | 9% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 203.2 | 28.7 | 16% | |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 196.9 | 23.4 | 14% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 14% | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 7% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →