130 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.82 | 56% | ||
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.72 | 51% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| James Cook BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.57 | 44% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.38 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.31 | 26% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 0.23 | 20% | |||
| Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Garrett Nussmeier KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 6 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 0.12 | 12% | ||
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 0.12 | 11% | |||
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF | WR | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF | RB | NYJ vs BUF | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF | TE | NYJ vs BUF | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Will Levis NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ | RB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF | QB | NYJ vs BUF | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ | QB | BUF vs NYJ | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ | WR | BUF vs NYJ | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ | TE | BUF vs NYJ | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET