✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Braelon Allen NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.83 56%
Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 1 0.83 56%
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Javonte Williams DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 1 0.58 44%
Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 1 0.58 44%
James Cook BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.57 44%
Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 1 0.49 39%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Aaron Jones MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF @ DAL TE SF vs DAL 1 0.41 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 1 0.37 31%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 2 0.32 27%
T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB TE MIN vs GB 1 0.31 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
DJ Moore BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 1 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 2 0.27 23%
George Pickens DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 2 0.26 23%
Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 3 0.25 22%
Khalil Shakir BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Dawson Knox BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 2 0.25 22%
Matthew Golden GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 2 0.24 22%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Keon Coleman BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 3 0.22 20%
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 2 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Kyler Murray MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 1 0.22 20%
Breece Hall CHART NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Josh Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Mason Taylor NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 1 0.19 17%
Dak Prescott DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 1 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Garrett Wilson NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 1 0.18 17%
Jordan Addison MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 2 0.18 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 1 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Dalton Kincaid BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 1 0.18 16%
Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL FB SF vs DAL 1 0.16 15%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Jordan Mason MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 1 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
Cade Klubnik NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Skyler Bell BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 6 0.13 12%
Sam Howell DAL vs SF QB DAL vs SF 2 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL QB SF vs DAL 3 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Sterling Shepard NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 0.12 11%
Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 3 0.11 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 10 0.11 10%
Carson Wentz MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Adonai Mitchell NYJ vs BUF WR NYJ vs BUF 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 4 0.10 9%
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 2 0.09 9%
Isaiah Davis NYJ vs BUF RB NYJ vs BUF 3 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 3 0.09 8%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ vs BUF TE NYJ vs BUF 2 0.08 8%
Will Levis NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 0.08 8%
Ray Davis BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 3 0.08 8%
Ty Johnson BUF @ NYJ RB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Jordan Love GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 1 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 4 0.08 7%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF TE DAL vs SF 2 0.08 7%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Max Brosmer MIN @ GB QB MIN vs GB 3 0.07 7%
Geno Smith NYJ vs BUF QB NYJ vs BUF 1 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF RB DAL vs SF 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN QB GB vs MIN 2 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 3 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Myles Price MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 5 0.06 6%
Dillon Bell MIN @ GB WR MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF @ DAL RB SF vs DAL 3 0.06 6%
Kyle Allen BUF @ NYJ QB BUF vs NYJ 2 0.06 6%
Greg Dortch BUF @ NYJ WR BUF vs NYJ 5 0.06 6%
Max Bredeson MIN @ GB RB MIN vs GB 0.06 6%
Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 3 0.05 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 4 0.05 5%
Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 5 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF @ DAL WR SF vs DAL 5 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Coleman Owen GB vs MIN WR GB vs MIN 6 0.05 4%
Jackson Hawes BUF @ NYJ TE BUF vs NYJ 3 0.04 4%
Pierre Strong GB vs MIN RB GB vs MIN 3 0.04 4%
Camden Brown DAL vs SF WR DAL vs SF 6 0.03 3%
Mark Redman GB vs MIN TE GB vs MIN 2 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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