| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 5.7 | 2–9 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 5.5 | 2–9 | 8.5 | 44% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 7.2 | 21% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6.1 | 31% |
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 4.2 | 1–8 | 7.1 | 22% |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5.6 | 27% |
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 6.5 | 24% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 3.4 | 0–7 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 3.3 | 0–7 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5.3 | 17% |
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 3.0 | 1–5 | 3.8 | 56% |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.9 | 1–6 | 4.0 | 31% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 2.9 | 0–7 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.8 | 24% |
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 4.2 | 20% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 2.8 | 0–6 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 2.7 | 1–5 | 4.7 | 14% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 2.5 | 0–5 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 2.4 | 0–6 | 3.2 | 11% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 2.2 | 0–5 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 2.2 | 0–4 | 3.4 | 11% |
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 2.1 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 36% |
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 2.1 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 8% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.4 | 17% |
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 2.0 | 0–5 | 2.8 | 10% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 2.0 | 0–4 | 3.2 | 23% |
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.9 | 0–4 | 3.1 | 21% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.9 | 14% |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 1.8 | 0–4 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 1.7 | 0–4 | 2.3 | 26% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 2.0 | 8% |
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 1.6 | 0–3 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.6 | 0–4 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 33% |
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 1.4 | 0–3 | 1.9 | 13% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 1.3 | 0–3 | 1.8 | 17% |
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 1.5 | 23% |
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 1.0 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 4% |
| Elijah Sarratt BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 6 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.6 | |
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 1.0 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 15% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Gavin Bartholomew MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 1.2 | |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.2 | 5% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 7% |
| Brenen Thompson LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 5 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.3 | |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.8 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 13% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Ben Yurosek MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Bo Melton GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.2 | |
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.7 | 0–2 | 1.1 | 6% | |
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.7 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 3% |
| Devontez Walker BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.1 | |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 1.0 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.8 | |
| Jeshaun Jones MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 13% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 5 | 0.6 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 4% |
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| DeeJay Dallas MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | ||
| Tai Felton MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 4 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.9 | |
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% | |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.6 | 11% |
| Odell Beckham Jr. MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.5 | 0–1 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 0.7 | 6% |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.7 | ||
| Patrick Herbert LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | ||
| LaJohntay Wester BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 5 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.6 | |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | |
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.4 | 0–1 | 0.5 | 5% |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | 9% | |
| Nick Vannett BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Josh Whyle GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Hayden Rucci LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.3 | 0–1 | 0.4 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–1 | 0.3 | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 32% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →