| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.51 | 40% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 0.04 | 4% | |||
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 0.04 | 3% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →