| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 283.7 | 35.3 | 15% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 259.0 | 27.6 | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 254.0 | 30.6 | 18% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 245.5 | 32.7 | 14% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 228.7 | 34.9 | 10% | |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 218.9 | 33.9 | 7% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 20% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 6% | |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 191.7 | 30.9 | 17% | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 7% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 155.5 | 21.0 | 6% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 149.0 | 23.2 | 6% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →