84 / 290 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Car ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 93.3 | 37–162 | 18.0 | 33% |
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 81.4 | 38–131 | 16.1 | 28% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 77.7 | 39–122 | 16.4 | 52% |
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 47.2 | 21–78 | 14.2 | 45% |
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 47.1 | 20–80 | 13.1 | 21% |
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 46.5 | 13–87 | 12.1 | 35% |
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 41.2 | 15–72 | 9.1 | 14% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.6 | 10–77 | 9.8 | 16% |
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 36.4 | 8–73 | 9.6 | 17% |
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 33.9 | 7–65 | 7.5 | 27% |
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 31.4 | 8–62 | 6.7 | 10% | |
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 30.6 | 6–64 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 28.8 | 9–52 | 6.7 | 24% |
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 24.9 | 8–44 | 6.6 | 16% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 24.9 | 4–52 | 4.2 | 32% |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 23.3 | 0–55 | 3.4 | 12% |
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 20.1 | 2–45 | 4.1 | 11% |
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 18.7 | 3–38 | 5.0 | 9% |
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 18.3 | 0–48 | 3.7 | 8% |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.1 | 2–39 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.9 | 13% |
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 17.8 | 1–39 | 3.1 | 17% |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 17.6 | 3–34 | 4.4 | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 17.0 | 0–41 | 2.9 | 20% |
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 16.3 | 2–34 | 4.7 | 13% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 16.2 | 0–40 | 3.6 | 22% |
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 15.0 | 0–40 | 3.0 | 14% |
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 14.8 | 0–34 | 2.4 | 13% |
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 14.0 | 0–33 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 13.8 | 0–30 | 3.1 | 13% |
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 13.6 | 0–32 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 13.2 | 0–31 | 2.9 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.0 | 0–30 | 2.7 | 13% |
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 12.7 | 0–30 | 2.4 | 13% |
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 12.5 | 0–28 | 2.4 | 14% |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 11.9 | 0–30 | 2.1 | 10% |
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 11.7 | 0–26 | 2.7 | 11% |
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 11.3 | 0–27 | 2.4 | 15% |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 9.7 | 0–26 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 8.3 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 6% |
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 8.1 | 0–22 | 1.3 | 8% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 8.0 | 0–22 | 1.2 | 10% |
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 7.7 | 0–21 | 1.4 | 8% |
| Travis Homer PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 7.4 | 0–20 | 1.7 | |
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 7.0 | 0–18 | 1.2 | 7% |
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 6.8 | 0–16 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 6.7 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 6.3 | 0–16 | 1.5 | 7% |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 6.3 | 0–17 | 1.3 | 7% | |
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 6.1 | 0–18 | 1.3 | 11% |
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 5.6 | 0–15 | 1.3 | 7% |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 5.2 | 0–15 | 1.0 | 6% |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 5.1 | 0–15 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 4.0 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 8% |
| Dare Ogunbowale HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 4 | 3.7 | 0–12 | 1.0 | |
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3.7 | 0–10 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 3.5 | 0–11 | 0.8 | 5% |
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 2.7 | 0–8 | 0.9 | 14% |
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 2.3 | 0–8 | 0.4 | 30% |
| Derius Davis LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 6 | 1.7 | 0–6 | 0.3 | |
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 17% |
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 21% |
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 1.5 | 0–3 | 0.4 | 29% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 1.2 | 0–1 | 0.2 | 5% |
| Malachi Corley CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 5 | 0.8 | 0–1 | 0.1 | |
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.8 | 0–0 | 0.2 | 14% |
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 25% |
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 30% |
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 9% |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 0.3 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 31% |
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 24% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 17% |
| Isaiah Bond CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 6 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.0 | |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.2 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 56% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
| Michael Burton CLE vs HOU | FB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.1 | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 18% |
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 28% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 14% |
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 9% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Tue Nov 3, 6:05 AM ET · Next Wed Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET