| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.38 | 32% | ||
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.31 | 26% | ||
| Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC | WR | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 4 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Adam Randall BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 7 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Justice Hill BAL vs LAC | RB | BAL vs LAC | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL | TE | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tre Harris LAC @ BAL | WR | LAC vs BAL | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL | RB | LAC vs BAL | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC | TE | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →