| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Zach Charbonnet CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.50 | 40% | ||
| Brock Bowers LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| AJ Barner SEA @ LV | TE | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.46 | 37% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Ashton Jeanty CHART LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.41 | 33% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Jalen Nailor LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Mike Washington Jr. LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Tre Tucker LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Emanuel Wilson CHART SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Cooper Kupp SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 3 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Tory Horton SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Fernando Mendoza LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Roman Hemby LV vs SEA | RB | LV vs SEA | 0.14 | 13% | |||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Cody White LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 4 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Michael Mayer LV vs SEA | TE | LV vs SEA | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| George Holani SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 4 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Malik Benson LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 7 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jadarian Price SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Rashid Shaheed SEA @ LV | WR | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Robert Henry Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 0.10 | 9% | |||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jack Bech LV vs SEA | WR | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Kirk Cousins LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 1 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Aidan O'Connell LV vs SEA | QB | LV vs SEA | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Sam Darnold SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 1 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Velus Jones Jr. SEA @ LV | RB | SEA vs LV | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Drew Lock SEA @ LV | QB | SEA vs LV | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →