| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 283.7 | 35.3 | 15% | |
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Mitchell Trubisky TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 259.0 | 27.6 | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 254.0 | 30.6 | 18% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 242.0 | 33.4 | 9% | |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 228.7 | 34.9 | 10% | |
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 218.9 | 33.9 | 7% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 20% | |
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 203.2 | 28.7 | 16% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 6% | |
| J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 196.9 | 23.4 | 14% | |
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 191.7 | 30.9 | 17% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 14% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG | QB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 155.5 | 21.0 | 6% | |
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 149.0 | 23.2 | 6% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →