| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Patrick Mahomes KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 255.0 | 34.1 | 12% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 246.6 | 36.1 | 17% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 242.6 | 33.6 | 3% | |
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 228.7 | 34.9 | 10% | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 228.5 | 37.2 | 26% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 20% | |
| Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 3 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 12% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL | QB | LAC vs BAL | 1 | 207.7 | 31.4 | 32% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 207.2 | 29.6 | 11% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 6% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | 6% | |
| Gardner Minshew CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 188.0 | 19.5 | ||
| Andy Dalton ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC | QB | BAL vs LAC | 1 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 13% | |
| Justin Fields KC @ ATL | QB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 139.9 | 22.8 | 12% | |
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 80.5 | 18.5 | 8% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs KC | QB | ATL vs KC | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →