| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Tgt ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 94.2 | 37–161 | 10.2 | 30% |
| Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 72.7 | 21–132 | 9.0 | 45% |
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 69.0 | 21–125 | 8.7 | 28% |
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 66.1 | 30–107 | 9.7 | 36% |
| Rashee Rice KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 1 | 66.0 | 19–122 | 7.2 | 29% |
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 65.5 | 20–117 | 7.6 | 22% |
| Drake London ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 1 | 65.2 | 22–114 | 8.0 | 16% |
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 56.2 | 16–104 | 7.9 | 26% |
| Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 53.7 | 13–105 | 6.6 | 34% |
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 47.4 | 0–106 | 5.1 | 15% |
| Travis Kelce KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 1 | 46.2 | 9–92 | 5.7 | 13% |
| Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 40.7 | 9–79 | 5.6 | 20% |
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 40.5 | 7–81 | 5.4 | 26% |
| Kyle Pitts ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 1 | 37.8 | 6–76 | 5.1 | 24% |
| Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 37.5 | 0–86 | 4.4 | 15% |
| Xavier Worthy KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 2 | 36.9 | 5–76 | 4.9 | 15% |
| Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 34.3 | 5–70 | 4.7 | 9% |
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 34.1 | 0–77 | 4.5 | 34% |
| Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 28.8 | 5–60 | 4.6 | 7% |
| Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 27.8 | 0–69 | 4.0 | 17% |
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 27.7 | 0–62 | 3.9 | 9% |
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 26.4 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 1 | 26.0 | 0–59 | 4.1 | 27% |
| Jahan Dotson ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 2 | 25.7 | 0–59 | 3.5 | 18% |
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 25.6 | 0–60 | 3.8 | 29% |
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 25.1 | 0–60 | 3.1 | 14% |
| Emmett Johnson KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.7 | 0–63 | 2.9 | 9% |
| Noah Gray KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 2 | 23.0 | 0–51 | 2.9 | 16% |
| Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 20.8 | 0–54 | 2.6 | 7% |
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 19.1 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 14% |
| Kenneth Walker III KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 1 | 18.8 | 0–44 | 3.0 | 51% |
| Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 18.7 | 0–45 | 2.5 | 14% |
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 18.4 | 0–47 | 3.5 | 52% |
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 18.1 | 0–42 | 3.4 | 24% |
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 18.0 | 0–43 | 2.8 | 20% |
| Cyrus Allen KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 3 | 17.9 | 0–49 | 2.1 | |
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.8 | 0–44 | 2.5 | 7% |
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 17.4 | 0–43 | 2.5 | 13% |
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 17.4 | 0–45 | 2.1 | 4% |
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 17.3 | 0–43 | 2.9 | 26% |
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 17.1 | 0–46 | 3.4 | 45% |
| Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 1 | 16.4 | 0–40 | 2.9 | 36% |
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 16.1 | 0–46 | 2.4 | 9% |
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 15.0 | 0–39 | 2.4 | 16% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 3 | 14.3 | 0–39 | 2.2 | 16% |
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 13.9 | 0–35 | 1.8 | 17% |
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 13.5 | 0–37 | 2.0 | 6% |
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 13.1 | 0–36 | 1.8 | 11% |
| Andrew Armstrong KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5 | 12.5 | 0–36 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1 | 12.4 | 0–35 | 1.9 | 19% |
| Jalen Royals KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 4 | 12.1 | 0–35 | 1.6 | 8% |
| Austin Hooper ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 3 | 12.0 | 0–31 | 1.6 | 15% |
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 12.0 | 0–34 | 1.4 | 10% |
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 11.7 | 0–38 | 1.4 | 5% |
| Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 2 | 11.2 | 0–32 | 1.8 | 20% |
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 10.9 | 0–32 | 1.9 | 16% |
| Zachariah Branch ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 4 | 10.8 | 0–33 | 1.5 | |
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 10.7 | 0–30 | 2.2 | 17% |
| Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 10.6 | 0–34 | 1.6 | 3% |
| Devin Duvernay ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 4 | 10.5 | 0–30 | 1.7 | |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.9 | 0–28 | 1.7 | 20% |
| Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 9.8 | 0–30 | 1.1 | 3% |
| Reggie Virgil ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 2 | 9.5 | 0–30 | 1.3 | |
| Charlie Woerner ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 2 | 9.5 | 0–27 | 1.5 | 10% |
| Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 9.3 | 0–26 | 1.6 | 29% |
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 8.5 | 0–26 | 1.8 | 21% |
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 8.3 | 0–25 | 1.5 | 30% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 5 | 8.2 | 0–24 | 1.1 | |
| David Moore CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 5 | 7.7 | 0–23 | 1.0 | |
| Brian Robinson ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 2 | 7.4 | 0–23 | 1.2 | 31% |
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 6.9 | 0–23 | 0.9 | 9% | |
| Oscar Delp NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 3 | 6.8 | 0–22 | 1.0 | |
| Thomas Fidone II NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 4 | 6.7 | 0–22 | 0.8 | |
| Nick Muse ATL vs KC | TE | ATL vs KC | 4 | 6.2 | 0–22 | 0.8 | 11% |
| Jaydn Ott KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 3 | 6.1 | 0–19 | 1.0 | 10% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 6.0 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 40% |
| Khalil Herbert ATL vs KC | RB | ATL vs KC | 5.9 | 0–19 | 1.2 | 20% | |
| Justin Watson KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.6 | ||
| Simi Fehoko ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 3 | 5.8 | 0–20 | 0.8 | |
| Van Jefferson WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 5 | 5.8 | 0–19 | 0.9 | |
| Beaux Collins ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 6 | 5.7 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Jordan Whittington LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 4 | 5.6 | 0–19 | 0.7 | |
| Jaylin Lane WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 8 | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | |
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.5 | 0–19 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Jalen Cropper NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.7 | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 5.4 | 0–18 | 0.8 | 5% | |
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 5.4 | 0–17 | 0.9 | 10% |
| Chris Blair ATL vs KC | WR | ATL vs KC | 5 | 5.3 | 0–18 | 0.7 | |
| John Bates WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 5.1 | 0–17 | 0.9 | |
| AJ Dillon CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 4 | 5.0 | 0–18 | 0.8 | |
| Trevor Etienne CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 0.8 | |
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 4.9 | 0–16 | 1.0 | 8% |
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 4.9 | 0–17 | 0.7 | 4% |
| Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 3 | 4.6 | 0–14 | 0.9 | 7% |
| Luke McCaffrey WAS @ NYG | WR | WAS vs NYG | 6 | 4.5 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 4.3 | 0–14 | 0.7 | 13% |
| Jake Briningstool KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 3 | 4.2 | 0–15 | 0.6 | |
| Jalin Hyatt NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.9 | 0–13 | 0.5 | ||
| CJ Daniels LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 5 | 3.6 | 0–14 | 0.4 | |
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 3.5 | 0–13 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Ben Sinnott WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 2 | 3.2 | 0–11 | 0.5 | |
| Dalen Cambre NYG vs WAS | WR | NYG vs WAS | 3.2 | 0–12 | 0.4 | ||
| Nikko Remigio KC @ ATL | WR | KC vs ATL | 6 | 3.0 | 0–12 | 0.3 | |
| Ben VanSumeren KC @ ATL | RB | KC vs ATL | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.5 | 9% | |
| Treyton Welch NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 4 | 2.8 | 0–11 | 0.4 | |
| Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG | RB | WAS vs NYG | 2.5 | 0–9 | 0.4 | 4% | |
| Jared Wiley KC @ ATL | TE | KC vs ATL | 4 | 2.5 | 0–10 | 0.3 | |
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 2.4 | 0–9 | 0.5 | 8% |
| Feleipe Franks CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 4 | 2.3 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Alex Bachman LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 6 | 2.2 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Chris Manhertz NYG vs WAS | TE | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 2.2 | 0–9 | 0.3 | |
| Colson Yankoff WAS @ NYG | TE | WAS vs NYG | 4 | 2.1 | 0–8 | 0.3 | |
| Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS | RB | NYG vs WAS | 1.8 | 0–5 | 0.3 | 4% | |
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.4 | 0–0 | 0.1 | 26% |
| Jake Haener NYG vs WAS | QB | NYG vs WAS | 3 | 0.1 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 7% |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 10% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →