| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.82 | 56% | ||
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Sam LaPorta DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Tyler Warren IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Eli Raridon NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.39 | 32% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.34 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN | TE | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Efton Chism III NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.31 | 26% | ||
| Hunter Henry NE @ DET | TE | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jameson Williams DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.29 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| A.J. Brown NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Chase Brown CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Malik Willis MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.21 | 19% | ||
| Drake Maye NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Corey Kiner NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Keenan Allen IND vs MIA | WR | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kyle McCord MIA @ IND | QB | MIA vs IND | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Daniel Jones IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Drew Allar PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Will Howard PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| DJ Giddens IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Isaac TeSlaa DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Behren Morton NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| TreVeyon Henderson NE @ DET | RB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 4 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Seth McGowan IND vs MIA | RB | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 5 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| DeMario Douglas NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Riley Leonard IND vs MIA | QB | IND vs MIA | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT | WR | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Chris Bell MIA @ IND | WR | MIA vs IND | 3 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Drew Sample CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Jack Endries CIN vs PIT | TE | CIN vs PIT | 4 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Carlos Washington MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.09 | 8% | |||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| DJ Herman MIA @ IND | RB | MIA vs IND | 0.08 | 8% | |||
| Will Mallory IND vs MIA | TE | IND vs MIA | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Tommy DeVito NE @ DET | QB | NE vs DET | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Kyle Williams NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN | RB | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Justin Jackson DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Jared Goff DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT | RB | CIN vs PIT | 3 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs DET vs NE | QB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.07 | 6% | ||
| Justin Joly MIA @ IND | TE | MIA vs IND | 4 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN | WR | PIT vs CIN | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN | QB | PIT vs CIN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Jalen Hurd NE @ DET | WR | NE vs DET | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Brock Wright DET vs NE | TE | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Sione Vaki DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT | QB | CIN vs PIT | 2 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jacob Saylors DET vs NE | RB | DET vs NE | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| DeAndre Carter DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 5 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Tay Martin DET vs NE | WR | DET vs NE | 4 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →