| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.83 | 56% | ||
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Kyren Williams LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.60 | 45% | ||
| Javonte Williams DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Justin Jefferson MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.58 | 44% | ||
| Christian McCaffrey SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.49 | 39% | ||
| Trey McBride ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.45 | 36% | ||
| Aaron Jones MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.44 | 36% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| George Kittle SF @ DAL | TE | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.41 | 34% | ||
| Tucker Kraft GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.37 | 31% | ||
| Blake Corum LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Puka Nacua LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.35 | 30% | ||
| Colby Parkinson LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.32 | 27% | ||
| T.J. Hockenson MIN @ GB | TE | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Tyler Allgeier ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Michael Wilson ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Jacoby Brissett CHART ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Christian Watson CHART GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| Mike Evans SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.27 | 24% | ||
| MarShawn Lloyd GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.27 | 23% | ||
| George Pickens DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.26 | 23% | ||
| Ryan Flournoy DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 3 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Matthew Golden GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 1 | 0.24 | 21% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Kyler Murray MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Jake Ferguson DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Bam Knight ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Dak Prescott DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jordan Addison MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brock Purdy CHART SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Davis Allen LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Kyle Juszczyk SF @ DAL | FB | SF vs DAL | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jordan Mason MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Carson Beck ARI vs LA | QB | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Kendrick Bourne ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 5 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Ty Simpson LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.13 | 12% | ||
| Sam Howell DAL vs SF | QB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kurtis Rourke SF @ DAL | QB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Kaelon Black SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Jauan Jennings MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brandon Aiyuk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 10 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Carson Wentz MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 2 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Stetson Bennett LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Dean Connors LA @ ARI | RB | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Brandin Cooks SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 4 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Jalen Brooks ARI vs LA | WR | ARI vs LA | 6 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Tyler Higbee LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Tyler Goodson DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.09 | 9% | ||
| Savion Williams GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Teagan Quitoriano ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jordan Love GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 1 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Evan Hull ARI vs LA | RB | ARI vs LA | 4 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| KaVontae Turpin DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 4 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL vs SF | TE | DAL vs SF | 2 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Max Brosmer MIN @ GB | QB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Elijah Higgins ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Hunter Luepke DAL vs SF | RB | DAL vs SF | 0.07 | 7% | |||
| Tyrod Taylor GB vs MIN | QB | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Demond Claiborne MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Myles Price MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 5 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Dillon Bell MIN @ GB | WR | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Jordan James SF @ DAL | RB | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Konata Mumpfield LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Max Bredeson MIN @ GB | RB | MIN vs GB | 0.06 | 6% | |||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Kenny Yeboah ARI vs LA | TE | ARI vs LA | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jordan Watkins SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 3 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Kaleb Johnson GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Jonnu Smith GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 4 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Jonathan Mingo DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Christian Kirk SF @ DAL | WR | SF vs DAL | 5 | 0.05 | 5% | ||
| Coleman Owen GB vs MIN | WR | GB vs MIN | 6 | 0.05 | 4% | ||
| Tutu Atwell LA @ ARI | WR | LA vs ARI | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Max Klare LA @ ARI | TE | LA vs ARI | 4 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Pierre Strong GB vs MIN | RB | GB vs MIN | 3 | 0.04 | 4% | ||
| Camden Brown DAL vs SF | WR | DAL vs SF | 6 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Matthew Stafford LA @ ARI | QB | LA vs ARI | 1 | 0.03 | 3% | ||
| Mark Redman GB vs MIN | TE | GB vs MIN | 2 | 0.03 | 3% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →