✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 1 0.82 56%
Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 1 0.74 52%
Malik Nabers NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 1 0.60 45%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 4 0.51 40%
Caleb Douglas MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 2 0.45 36%
Rachaad White CHART WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 1 0.44 36%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 1 0.42 34%
Isaiah Likely NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 1 0.42 34%
Tyler Warren IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 1 0.40 33%
Derrick Henry BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 1 0.40 33%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 1 0.39 32%
Justin Herbert LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 1 0.38 32%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 2 0.37 31%
Germie Bernard PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 2 0.35 30%
Pat Freiermuth PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 2 0.34 29%
Austin Ekeler WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 2 0.34 29%
Chris Olave NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 1 0.33 28%
Jaylen Warren PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Darnell Washington CHART PIT @ CIN TE PIT vs CIN 1 0.32 27%
Ollie Gordon II MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 1 0.31 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 3 0.30 26%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 2 0.30 26%
Greg Dulcich MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 1 0.30 26%
Tee Higgins CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 2 0.30 26%
DK Metcalf PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 1 0.29 25%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 1 0.28 24%
Mark Andrews BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 1 0.27 24%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 3 0.26 23%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 1 0.25 22%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 2 0.24 21%
Zay Flowers BAL vs LAC WR BAL vs LAC 1 0.24 21%
Chase Brown CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 1 0.23 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 4 0.23 21%
Stefon Diggs WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 1 0.23 20%
Bryce Lance NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 3 0.23 20%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 4 0.22 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 2 0.22 20%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 1 0.22 20%
Devin Singletary NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 2 0.22 20%
Tyler Shough NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 1 0.22 20%
Malik Willis MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 1 0.21 19%
Mike Gesicki CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 1 0.21 19%
Cam Skattebo NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 1 0.21 19%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 1 0.20 18%
Malik Washington CHART MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 1 0.20 18%
Omarion Hampton LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Treylon Burks WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 3 0.19 17%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 3 0.18 17%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 3 0.18 17%
Keenan Allen IND vs MIA WR IND vs MIA 2 0.18 16%
Jayden Daniels CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 1 0.18 16%
Kyle McCord MIA @ IND QB MIA vs IND 2 0.18 16%
Kendre Miller NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 2 0.18 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 5 0.16 15%
Jalen Coker CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 2 0.16 15%
Malachi Fields NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 2 0.16 15%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 1 0.16 15%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 4 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 2 0.16 14%
Rico Dowdle PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 2 0.15 14%
Darren Waller CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 2 0.15 14%
Daniel Jones IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 1 0.15 14%
Drew Allar PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 4 0.15 14%
Will Howard PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 3 0.15 14%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC @ BAL QB LAC vs BAL 2 0.15 14%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
Theo Johnson NYG vs WAS TE NYG vs WAS 2 0.15 14%
John Metchie III CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 3 0.15 14%
DJ Giddens IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 3 0.15 14%
J.J. McCarthy CHART NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 1 0.15 14%
Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 3 0.15 14%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO TE CAR vs NO 1 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 3 0.14 13%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 1 0.14 13%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Adam Randall BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 4 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 7 0.14 13%
Kaytron Allen MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 3 0.13 13%
Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO RB CAR vs NO 3 0.13 13%
Lamar Jackson BAL vs LAC QB BAL vs LAC 3 0.13 12%
Noah Fant NO vs CAR TE NO vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 3 0.12 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 4 0.12 11%
Justice Hill BAL vs LAC RB BAL vs LAC 2 0.12 11%
Seth McGowan IND vs MIA RB IND vs MIA 2 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 3 0.11 10%
Jalen Tolbert MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 5 0.10 10%
Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 4 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs MIA QB IND vs MIA 3 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 1 0.10 10%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC @ BAL TE LAC vs BAL 1 0.10 10%
Samaje Perine CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 2 0.10 9%
Tre Harris LAC @ BAL WR LAC vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Jameis Winston NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 2 0.10 9%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO WR CAR vs NO 0.09 9%
Antonio Williams WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Marcus Mariota WAS @ NYG QB WAS vs NYG 2 0.09 9%
Dohnte Meyers CIN vs PIT WR CIN vs PIT 3 0.09 9%
Chris Bell MIA @ IND WR MIA vs IND 3 0.09 9%
Drew Sample CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 2 0.09 9%
Scott Matlock LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 0.09 9%
Jack Endries CIN vs PIT TE CIN vs PIT 4 0.09 9%
Carlos Washington MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.09 8%
Keaton Mitchell LAC @ BAL RB LAC vs BAL 2 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO QB CAR vs NO 2 0.08 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR RB NO vs CAR 3 0.08 8%
DJ Herman MIA @ IND RB MIA vs IND 0.08 8%
Will Mallory IND vs MIA TE IND vs MIA 2 0.08 8%
Lew Nichols III PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 4 0.08 7%
Jake Haener NYG vs WAS QB NYG vs WAS 3 0.08 7%
Chig Okonkwo WAS @ NYG TE WAS vs NYG 1 0.07 7%
Eli Heidenreich PIT @ CIN RB PIT vs CIN 5 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 0.07 7%
Jeremy McNichols WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 3 0.07 7%
Darnell Mooney NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 3 0.07 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs LAC TE BAL vs LAC 3 0.07 7%
Aaron Rodgers PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 1 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN vs PIT RB CIN vs PIT 3 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA @ IND TE MIA vs IND 4 0.06 6%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR QB NO vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Kaden Wetjen PIT @ CIN WR PIT vs CIN 5 0.06 6%
Mason Rudolph PIT @ CIN QB PIT vs CIN 2 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 4 0.06 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR WR NO vs CAR 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN vs PIT QB CIN vs PIT 2 0.05 5%
Craig Reynolds WAS @ NYG RB WAS vs NYG 0.04 4%
Patrick Ricard NYG vs WAS RB NYG vs WAS 0.04 4%
Charlie Jones NYG vs WAS WR NYG vs WAS 4 0.04 3%
Dyami Brown WAS @ NYG WR WAS vs NYG 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET
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