78 / 364 players
| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | — ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.74 | 52% | ||
| Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.62 | 46% | ||
| Quinshon Judkins CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.59 | 45% | ||
| Woody Marks HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.43 | 35% | ||
| Juwan Johnson NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.42 | 34% | ||
| Denzel Boston CHART CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.40 | 33% | ||
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Nico Collins HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.36 | 30% | ||
| Elic Ayomanor TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 3 | 0.35 | 29% | ||
| Chris Olave NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.33 | 28% | ||
| David Montgomery HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.31 | 27% | ||
| Devaughn Vele NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.30 | 26% | ||
| Tony Pollard TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.28 | 25% | ||
| Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.28 | 24% | ||
| Jakobi Meyers JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Tetairoa McMillan CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.25 | 22% | ||
| Jaleel McLaughlin CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.24 | 22% | ||
| Parker Washington JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.23 | 21% | ||
| Bryce Lance NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.23 | 20% | ||
| Tyler Shough NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 1 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.22 | 20% | ||
| Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.20 | 18% | ||
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.19 | 18% | ||
| Dalton Schultz HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Cam Ward TEN vs JAX | QB | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Gunnar Helm TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Josh Cameron JAX @ TEN | WR | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.19 | 17% | ||
| Jaylin Noel HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 7 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Brenton Strange JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 1 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Mitchell Evans CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.18 | 17% | ||
| Audric Estimé CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 0.18 | 16% | |||
| Kendre Miller NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Calvin Ridley TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.18 | 16% | ||
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.17 | 16% | ||
| Jalen Coker CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Michael Carter TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 5 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Foster Moreau HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Carnell Tate CHART TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 1 | 0.16 | 15% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.16 | 14% | ||
| Darren Waller CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Deshaun Watson CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 1 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Cade Stover HOU @ CLE | TE | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| John Metchie III CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.15 | 14% | ||
| Nicholas Singleton TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Tommy Tremble CHART CAR @ NO | TE | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Haynes King CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Dylan Sampson CLE vs HOU | RB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Taylen Green CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 4 | 0.14 | 13% | ||
| Anthony Tyus III CAR @ NO | RB | CAR vs NO | 3 | 0.13 | 13% | ||
| Noah Fant NO vs CAR | TE | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| Daniel Bellinger TEN vs JAX | TE | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.12 | 11% | ||
| KC Concepcion CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.11 | 11% | ||
| Kayshon Boutte HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 5 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Jawhar Jordan HOU @ CLE | RB | HOU vs CLE | 0.11 | 10% | |||
| Zach Wilson NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.11 | 10% | ||
| Brycen Tremayne CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| K.J. Osborn TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Bryce Young CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 1 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Ameer Abdullah JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 4 | 0.10 | 10% | ||
| Xavier Restrepo TEN vs JAX | WR | TEN vs JAX | 0.10 | 10% | |||
| Tyjae Spears TEN vs JAX | RB | TEN vs JAX | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Nate Boerkircher JAX @ TEN | TE | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.10 | 9% | ||
| Ja'Seem Reed CAR @ NO | WR | CAR vs NO | 0.09 | 9% | |||
| Davis Mills HOU @ CLE | QB | HOU vs CLE | 2 | 0.09 | 8% | ||
| Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ CLE | WR | HOU vs CLE | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Kenny Pickett CAR @ NO | QB | CAR vs NO | 2 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| CJ Donaldson NO vs CAR | RB | NO vs CAR | 3 | 0.08 | 8% | ||
| Jerry Jeudy CLE vs HOU | WR | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.08 | 7% | ||
| Dillon Gabriel CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE vs HOU | QB | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ TEN | RB | JAX vs TEN | 3 | 0.07 | 7% | ||
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CAR | QB | NO vs CAR | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Blake Whiteheart CLE vs HOU | TE | CLE vs HOU | 2 | 0.06 | 6% | ||
| Barion Brown NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 4 | 0.06 | 5% | ||
| Cedric Tillman NO vs CAR | WR | NO vs CAR | 0.05 | 5% | |||
| Nick Mullens JAX @ TEN | QB | JAX vs TEN | 0.05 | 5% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, SF, TEN, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →
Updated Wed Nov 4, 10:02 AM ET · Next Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET