✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Josh Jacobs GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 1 0.77 54%
Chuba Hubbard CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 1 0.74 52%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Bhayshul Tuten JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 1 0.69 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
RJ Harvey DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 2 0.42 34%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Hunter Henry NE vs GB TE NE vs GB 1 0.40 33%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Eli Raridon NE vs GB TE NE vs GB 2 0.38 31%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
Derrick Henry BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 1 0.35 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Tucker Kraft GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 1 0.34 29%
Christian Watson CHART GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 1 0.33 28%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Courtland Sutton DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 2 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 3 0.30 26%
Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 1 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Zay Flowers BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 1 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
A.J. Brown NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 1 0.27 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
MarShawn Lloyd GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 2 0.27 23%
Matthew Golden GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 2 0.26 23%
Rashod Bateman BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 2 0.26 23%
Parker Washington JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 1 0.26 23%
Jaylen Waddle DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 1 0.26 23%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Corey Kiner NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 3 0.24 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Mark Andrews BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Josh Cameron JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 3 0.22 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
J.K. Dobbins CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Brenton Strange JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 1 0.22 19%
Troy Franklin DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 3 0.22 19%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Jakobi Meyers JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 2 0.20 18%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Bo Nix DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Drake Maye NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 1 0.20 18%
Jonah Coleman CHART DEN @ CAR RB DEN vs CAR 1 0.19 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 1 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Josh Cuevas BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 3 0.18 17%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Behren Morton NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 3 0.17 15%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Tommy Tremble CHART CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 1 0.16 15%
Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 2 0.16 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Darren Waller CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 2 0.16 15%
TreVeyon Henderson NE vs GB RB NE vs GB 2 0.16 14%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
Jalen Coker CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 2 0.15 14%
Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 1 0.15 14%
Mitchell Evans CAR vs DEN TE CAR vs DEN 3 0.15 14%
Nate Adkins DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 3 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX @ BAL WR JAX vs BAL 4 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 2 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Haynes King CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 3 0.14 13%
Joe Fagnano BAL vs JAX QB BAL vs JAX 3 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Rasheen Ali BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 3 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Adam Trautman DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Ja'Seem Reed CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Anthony Tyus III CAR vs DEN RB CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brycen Tremayne CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 3 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
John Metchie III CAR vs DEN WR CAR vs DEN 4 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
DeMario Douglas NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 2 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Bryce Young CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 1 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Efton Chism III NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 3 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 3 0.10 9%
Evan Engram DEN @ CAR TE DEN vs CAR 1 0.09 9%
Sam Ehlinger DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 3 0.09 9%
Tommy DeVito NE vs GB QB NE vs GB 2 0.09 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Savion Williams GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 3 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Justice Hill BAL vs JAX RB BAL vs JAX 2 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Nate Boerkircher JAX @ BAL TE JAX vs BAL 2 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
Jordan Love GB @ NE QB GB vs NE 1 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Devontez Walker BAL vs JAX WR BAL vs JAX 4 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
Kenny Pickett CAR vs DEN QB CAR vs DEN 2 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Matthew Hibner BAL vs JAX TE BAL vs JAX 2 0.07 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN @ CAR WR DEN vs CAR 4 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Pierre Strong GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 3 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 2 0.07 6%
Kyle Williams NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 4 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Ameer Abdullah JAX @ BAL RB JAX vs BAL 4 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Jarrett Stidham DEN @ CAR QB DEN vs CAR 2 0.06 6%
Jalen Hurd NE vs GB WR NE vs GB 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Tyrod Taylor GB @ NE QB GB vs NE 2 0.05 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jonnu Smith GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 2 0.05 5%
Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL QB JAX vs BAL 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Kaleb Johnson GB @ NE RB GB vs NE 4 0.04 4%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
Coleman Owen GB @ NE WR GB vs NE 6 0.04 4%
Josh Whyle GB @ NE TE GB vs NE 4 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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