✕ Clear
Player ⇅ Pos ⇅ Matchup ⇅ Dep ⇅ Proj ⇅ p10–p90 ⇅ — ⇅ TD% ⇅
Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 1 0.85 57%
Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 1 0.70 50%
Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 1 0.67 49%
Ashton Jeanty LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 1 0.66 48%
Bucky Irving TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 1 0.59 44%
Caleb Douglas MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 2 0.53 41%
Javonte Williams DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 1 0.48 38%
Christian McCaffrey SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 1 0.46 37%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 1 0.45 37%
Brian Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 2 0.44 36%
CeeDee Lamb DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 1 0.44 36%
Woody Marks HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 2 0.43 35%
Colston Loveland CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 1 0.43 35%
George Kittle SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 1 0.42 34%
Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 1 0.42 34%
Jonathan Taylor IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 1 0.41 33%
Denzel Boston CHART CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 1 0.39 32%
Juwan Johnson NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 1 0.39 32%
Sam LaPorta DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 1 0.37 31%
Brock Bowers LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 1 0.37 31%
Tyler Warren IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 1 0.35 29%
David Montgomery CHART HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 1 0.34 29%
Kenny Gainwell TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 2 0.34 29%
Bijan Robinson ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 1 0.33 28%
Chris Olave NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 1 0.33 28%
Devaughn Vele NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 2 0.32 28%
Greg Dulcich MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 1 0.32 27%
Emeka Egbuka TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 1 0.32 27%
Oronde Gadsden II LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 2 0.32 27%
Nico Collins HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 1 0.31 27%
Kyle Monangai CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 2 0.30 26%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 2 0.30 26%
George Pickens DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 2 0.30 26%
Kimani Vidal LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 3 0.29 25%
Roschon Johnson CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 3 0.29 25%
Jameson Williams DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 2 0.28 24%
Alvin Kamara CHART NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 1 0.28 24%
Ollie Gordon II MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 1 0.27 24%
Kyle Pitts ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 1 0.27 24%
Mike Evans SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 1 0.25 22%
Tee Higgins CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 2 0.25 22%
D'Andre Swift CHI vs TB RB CHI vs TB 1 0.25 22%
Malik Willis MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 1 0.24 22%
Rome Odunze CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 1 0.24 21%
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 4 0.24 21%
Jake Ferguson DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 1 0.24 21%
Tre Tucker LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 1 0.23 21%
Tyler Shough NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 1 0.23 21%
Chase Brown CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 1 0.23 21%
Laquon Treadwell IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 3 0.23 20%
Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 2 0.23 20%
Luther Burden III CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 2 0.22 20%
Khalil Herbert ATL vs CIN RB ATL vs CIN 0.22 20%
Omarion Hampton LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 1 0.22 20%
Sean Tucker TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 3 0.21 19%
Jaleel McLaughlin CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 3 0.21 19%
Keenan Allen IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 2 0.21 19%
Bryce Lance NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 3 0.20 18%
Ryan Flournoy DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 3 0.20 18%
Dalton Schultz HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 1 0.20 18%
Drake London ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 1 0.20 18%
Josh Downs CHART IND vs DAL WR IND vs DAL 1 0.20 18%
Mike Gesicki CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 1 0.20 18%
Kyle Juszczyk SF vs LV FB SF vs LV 1 0.19 18%
Jaylin Noel HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 4 0.19 18%
Ladd McConkey CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 1 0.19 17%
Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 1 0.19 17%
Jalen Nailor LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 2 0.19 17%
Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 1 0.18 17%
Foster Moreau HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 2 0.18 17%
Kendre Miller NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 2 0.18 17%
Jahan Dotson ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 2 0.18 16%
Tez Johnson TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 4 0.18 16%
Isaac TeSlaa DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 3 0.18 16%
Dak Prescott DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 1 0.17 16%
Mitchell Tinsley CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 4 0.17 16%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 1 0.17 16%
Mo Alie-Cox IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 3 0.17 15%
Audric Estimé CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 4 0.17 15%
Austin Hooper ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 3 0.16 15%
Mike Washington Jr. LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 2 0.16 15%
Quentin Johnston LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
DJ Uiagalelei LAC vs HOU QB LAC vs HOU 2 0.16 15%
Malik Washington MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 1 0.16 14%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith CHART LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 4 0.15 14%
Kyle McCord MIA vs DET QB MIA vs DET 2 0.15 14%
Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 1 0.15 14%
Jack Strand ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 4 0.14 13%
Samaje Perine CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 2 0.14 13%
Theo Wease Jr. LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 6 0.14 13%
Ted Hurst III TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 3 0.14 13%
Caleb Williams CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 1 0.14 13%
Daniel Jones IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 1 0.14 13%
Noah Fant NO vs CLE TE NO vs CLE 2 0.14 13%
Miller Moss CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 0.14 13%
Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 2 0.14 13%
Sam Howell DAL @ IND QB DAL vs IND 2 0.14 13%
Taylen Green CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 4 0.13 13%
Cade Otton TB @ CHI TE TB vs CHI 1 0.13 13%
Cade Stover HOU @ LAC TE HOU vs LAC 3 0.13 13%
Jalen Tolbert MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 5 0.13 12%
Fernando Mendoza LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 2 0.13 12%
Kurtis Rourke SF vs LV QB SF vs LV 3 0.12 12%
Kaytron Allen MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 3 0.12 12%
Kayshon Boutte HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 6 0.12 11%
KC Concepcion CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 2 0.12 11%
Roman Hemby LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 0.12 11%
Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 2 0.12 11%
Charlie Woerner ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 2 0.12 11%
Malik Benson LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 5 0.12 11%
Cody White LV @ SF WR LV vs SF 3 0.12 11%
Will Mallory IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 2 0.12 11%
Kaelon Black SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 2 0.11 11%
Brandin Cooks SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 4 0.11 11%
Brandon Aiyuk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 10 0.11 11%
Michael Mayer LV @ SF TE LV vs SF 2 0.11 11%
Case Keenum CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 3 0.11 11%
Dylan Sampson CLE @ NO RB CLE vs NO 2 0.11 11%
Andrew Ogletree IND vs DAL TE IND vs DAL 4 0.11 11%
Charlie Kolar CHART LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 1 0.11 11%
Tyler Goodson DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 2 0.11 10%
Drew Sample CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 2 0.11 10%
C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 1 0.11 10%
Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN QB ATL vs CIN 1 0.11 10%
Zach Wilson NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 3 0.11 10%
Seth McGowan IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 2 0.10 10%
Tre Harris LAC vs HOU WR LAC vs HOU 3 0.10 10%
Riley Leonard IND vs DAL QB IND vs DAL 3 0.10 10%
Jawhar Jordan HOU @ LAC RB HOU vs LAC 0.10 9%
Nick Muse ATL vs CIN TE ATL vs CIN 4 0.10 9%
Easton Stick TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 0.10 9%
Kalif Raymond CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 3 0.09 9%
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 3 0.09 9%
Keaton Mitchell LAC vs HOU RB LAC vs HOU 2 0.09 9%
Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 3 0.09 9%
Baker Mayfield CHART TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 1 0.09 8%
Josh Williams TB @ CHI RB TB vs CHI 0.09 8%
Jalon Daniels TB @ CHI QB TB vs CHI 2 0.09 8%
Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ LAC WR HOU vs LAC 3 0.09 8%
Davis Mills HOU @ LAC QB HOU vs LAC 2 0.09 8%
Hunter Luepke DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 0.09 8%
CJ Donaldson NO vs CLE RB NO vs CLE 3 0.09 8%
Tyson Bagent CHI vs TB QB CHI vs TB 2 0.09 8%
Hayden Rucci LAC vs HOU TE LAC vs HOU 3 0.08 8%
Justin Jackson DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 0.08 8%
DJ Giddens IND vs DAL RB IND vs DAL 3 0.08 8%
Chris Bell MIA vs DET WR MIA vs DET 3 0.08 8%
Jerry Jeudy CLE @ NO WR CLE vs NO 3 0.08 8%
KaVontae Turpin DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 4 0.08 8%
Emari Demercado DAL @ IND RB DAL vs IND 3 0.08 7%
Jared Goff DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 1 0.08 7%
Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 0.07 7%
Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 3 0.07 7%
Dylan Laube LV @ SF RB LV vs SF 3 0.07 7%
Tahj Brooks CIN @ ATL RB CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 7%
Joshua Dobbs DET @ MIA QB DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE QB NO vs CLE 2 0.07 7%
Zachariah Branch ATL vs CIN WR ATL vs CIN 4 0.07 7%
Carlos Washington MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.07 7%
Brock Wright DET @ MIA TE DET vs MIA 2 0.07 7%
Erick All CIN @ ATL TE CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Cole Kmet CHI vs TB TE CHI vs TB 3 0.07 6%
Dohnte Meyers CIN @ ATL WR CIN vs ATL 3 0.07 6%
Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO QB CLE vs NO 2 0.07 6%
Justin Joly MIA vs DET TE MIA vs DET 4 0.06 6%
Kirk Cousins LV @ SF QB LV vs SF 1 0.06 6%
Jahdae Walker CHI vs TB WR CHI vs TB 5 0.06 6%
Barion Brown NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 4 0.06 6%
DJ Herman MIA vs DET RB MIA vs DET 0.06 6%
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL @ IND TE DAL vs IND 2 0.06 6%
Jordan James SF vs LV RB SF vs LV 3 0.06 6%
Blake Whiteheart CLE @ NO TE CLE vs NO 2 0.06 5%
Luke Farrell SF vs LV TE SF vs LV 2 0.05 5%
Camden Brown DAL @ IND WR DAL vs IND 6 0.05 5%
Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL QB CIN vs ATL 2 0.05 5%
Jacob Saylors DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 3 0.05 5%
Christian Kirk SF vs LV WR SF vs LV 5 0.05 5%
Cedric Tillman NO vs CLE WR NO vs CLE 0.05 5%
Sione Vaki DET @ MIA RB DET vs MIA 2 0.04 4%
David Sills TB @ CHI WR TB vs CHI 5 0.04 4%
DeAndre Carter DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 5 0.04 3%
Tay Martin DET @ MIA WR DET vs MIA 4 0.03 3%

No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.

No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.

Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters

Projections only, not advice. How this works →

Updated Sun Nov 1, 9:03 AM ET · Next Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM ET
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