| Player ⇅ | Pos ⇅ | Matchup ⇅ | Dep ⇅ | Proj ⇅ | p10–p90 ⇅ | Att ⇅ | TD% ⇅ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford LA @ WAS | QB | LA vs WAS | 1 | 275.8 | 37.5 | 3% | |
| Mac Jones SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 2 | 268.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Joe Burrow CHART CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 1 | 268.3 | 35.1 | 14% | |
| Dak Prescott DAL @ IND | QB | DAL vs IND | 1 | 264.6 | 37.4 | 16% | |
| Trevor Lawrence JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 1 | 256.8 | 32.4 | 17% | |
| Kirk Cousins LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 1 | 249.5 | 34.2 | 6% | |
| Brock Purdy CHART SF vs LV | QB | SF vs LV | 1 | 246.1 | 31.0 | 17% | |
| Joe Flacco CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 2 | 245.1 | 40.3 | 5% | |
| C.J. Stroud CHART HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 1 | 243.2 | 31.6 | 10% | |
| Michael Penix Jr. ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 1 | 225.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Daniel Jones IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 1 | 221.1 | 33.6 | 13% | |
| Tyler Shough NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 1 | 218.0 | 33.6 | 21% | |
| Lamar Jackson CHART BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 1 | 214.3 | 23.6 | 14% | |
| Davis Mills HOU @ LAC | QB | HOU vs LAC | 2 | 214.0 | 36.5 | 8% | |
| Deshaun Watson CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 1 | 210.4 | 31.2 | 17% | |
| Riley Leonard IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 3 | 207.5 | 31.0 | 10% | |
| Spencer Rattler NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 2 | 198.2 | 31.3 | 7% | |
| Justin Herbert LAC vs HOU | QB | LAC vs HOU | 1 | 198.1 | 31.7 | 34% | |
| Tua Tagovailoa ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 2 | 190.0 | 27.8 | ||
| Jayden Daniels CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 1 | 188.1 | 27.2 | 19% | |
| Athan Kaliakmanis CHART WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 3 | 186.0 | 32.1 | 13% | |
| Andy Dalton ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 3 | 175.0 | 28.9 | ||
| Shedeur Sanders CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 2 | 175.0 | 26.7 | 6% | |
| Marcus Mariota WAS vs LA | QB | WAS vs LA | 2 | 169.8 | 23.8 | 9% | |
| Tyler Huntley BAL vs JAX | QB | BAL vs JAX | 2 | 163.9 | 24.5 | 15% | |
| Quinn Ewers JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 2 | 155.5 | 20.9 | 6% | |
| Dillon Gabriel CLE @ NO | QB | CLE vs NO | 3 | 153.0 | 29.9 | 7% | |
| Josh Johnson CIN @ ATL | QB | CIN vs ATL | 124.0 | 16.9 | 7% | ||
| Aidan O'Connell LV @ SF | QB | LV vs SF | 3 | 102.0 | 21.7 | 9% | |
| Jack Strand ATL vs CIN | QB | ATL vs CIN | 4 | 59.0 | 15.6 | 13% | |
| Zach Wilson NO vs CLE | QB | NO vs CLE | 3 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Nick Mullens JAX @ BAL | QB | JAX vs BAL | 9.5 | 0.6 | 5% | ||
| Anthony Richardson IND vs DAL | QB | IND vs DAL | 2 | 9.0 | 0.9 | 20% |
No market lines on this page, by construction. The saved line file carries no week, so pricing next week's projections against it would attach this week's numbers to them. Nothing here is a bet signal — it is where the model expects the workload to be before the market has an opinion.
No game line yet for ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS — the schedule carries no spread or total for those games, so their touchdown numbers are levelled to an average game environment (22.63 implied points) rather than to their own. Volume and yardage are unaffected; treat the TD% column for those teams as a placeholder.
Injury reports for this week are not published yet, so every projection here assumes availability. Why that matters
Projections only, not advice. How this works →